OK everyone, first off I just have to say that the Browns and the Lions aren’t as good as the 49′ers, nor will they ever be. As a matter of fact those 2 franchises can suck it, my team is 5-0 in the SuperBowl. Let’s root for 6-0 after the 2011-12 season!
If you know my friends Mark and Bob then you know why that had to be written first and foremost. We give each other a lot of crap about our repective teams, but this year I am King (and its good to be the King).
You can debate our winning percentage (76% or 80%), but you can’t debate your returns if you have been betting according to our expert advive. Here are some early thoughts on this weekends NFL matchups.
New England -7 vs Baltimore O/U 50.5
Baltimore has beaten 7 playoff teams this year by an average of 7+ points, NE hasnt beaten a team with a winning record. Ravens more battle tested for sure. Pats are more flashy
Ravens have won 5 playoff Road games in the past 4 years. Ravens arent afraid of the road
The last 2 times these teams played Brady has tossed 5 INT’s. Ed Reed plays BIG all the time
The Ravens aren’t prone to turnovers and the Pats have a +45 turnover differintal over the past 2 years, advantage slightly to the Pats (if Ravens pass catchers could ever get seperation for DB’s I would call it even but Cam Cameron cant call plays)
If you took 7.5 points on every Ravens game since Harbaugh took over you would be 63-8 in you bets, the Ravens hardly ever get blown out folks. Good D and Ray Rice keeps you in lots of games
Baltimore beat the Texans without any penalties or turnovers, pretty nice disipline but that won’t happen again. If Matt Schaub wouldnt have gotten hurt that Texans team would be in the Superbowl in my mind (next year early bet on a Lombardi trophy anyone???)
Joe Flacco is average at best and will never be Tom Brady, but besides the Goldenboy and his TE’s, this Pats team is pretty average.
If it comes down to Flacco being better than average or to come back and beat Tom Brady then we all know Pats win.
If u have 2 put $ on this game for the action and best profit possibility then you bet BALT moneyline (+250).
4.5 on the 1st half sounds interesting also, so a split of you gambling funds for max protection/profit would be 50% on the line of +7 Balt, 35% moneyline Balt+250, and Balt first half +4.5 (15%)
Giant vs San Fransisco 49′ers +2.5 O/U 42
Which QB is 16-1-1 against the spread in past 18 home games? Alex Smith (Tie was overtive vs Cowgirls)
Run advantage/Run Stop advantage/Special Teams San Fran Dominates
San Fran is going win in the trenches and in the field position battle
SF D allows 3.5 yds/carry, Bradshaw avg 3.9 and Jacobs avg 3.7. I dont see a whole lot of running here by the NYG, that SF D hits hard all game long and knocks people out, with Bradshaws injury history i see Manning having to pass all day long, and SF opponets have passed 128 more time than they have ran against the 49′er D this season, they are used to teams passing against them.
Giants had the 7th hardest schedule, 49′ers had the 27th. SF really capitalizes on the turnovers, and even with 5 last week they needed a last scond amazing play from Smith to win the game. But Brees and theSaints dont make many mistakes, credit to that D in San Fran
SF avg 7 yards per pass, 4.1 per rush, allows 6.9 per pass and 3.5 per rush
Giants over the past month have been the hotest team in the NFL, they beat GB once and were tied with them with 1 min left in another game, beat the Jets, Beat NE, and beat the Cowgirls in a must win game. They are the hottest team right now
For me at this first glance i think the best value bets for this game is the 49′ers straight up (-130 moneyline) or with the points (-2.5), and that 0.5 1st half spread is tasty also, jump on it.
. BUT that means NBA and some NCAA BB game projections for you. Right now we are hovering at about 58% on our projections for NBA – but now that we have collected enough data, I expect to see that popup to mid-high 60% in the next week or two. We won’t project every game – because we have lives that we need to live – they just play too many damn games!