MJ Bets

Alright folks, it’s that time of the SUPERBOWL Projections. This is actually quite sad for both of us – as it means the end of yet another great season football.  So to pass the time, this site will move over the NBA – I know, I know we’ve been promising that for sometime now, but as long as there is an NFL game on – that’s our primary focus.

So let’s get on to the Superbowl, shall we?  Alright, the over/under is at 54 says Vegas – but we don’t care what they say do we?  Nope, we are projecting 55.5.  So what’s this mean?  Well, if you have followed us at all, you’ll know that we are staying away from the O/U – 54 is too rich for our blood.  Now if someone pointed a gun at my head and asked, we’d have to say the over, technically.  But that isn’t our official projection – our official projection is to stay away from this game.

Let’s discuss the first half – right now the O/U is at 27.5 and the Patriots are projected to be up by 1. We are projecting the over on the first half, but we believe the Giants will be leading.  Right now the Giants D is hot, but will tire quickly with Patriots no huddle offence.  On the flip side, the Giants have a lot more play makers on offence, and the Pat’s secondary sucks (seriously one of the worst secondaries out there); therefore, we see the Giants scoring and sustaining drives.  Bradshaw isn’t just a great running back – he’s a good pass blocker; and with Eli now having 5 pass catchers, the Pat’s can’t cover them all.  Having that many play makers, it’s going to be a high scoring game.

Now for second half – check back tomorrow during the game.  Sneak preview: how do you feel about Bill Belichick?  We’ll explain more tomorrow.

Now who’s going to win the big big game?  We are projecting – drum roll please – The Patriots have in the bag.  Our score projection is 31-24 Pat’s.

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Guess who’s talking Pro Bowl????? Um, not us… At all.  That O/U is WAY to rich for our blood.  We don’t normally bet unders, but on this game, I think I’d take that.

Now, let’s talk superbowl – shall we?  Pats are up by 3 – what’s our projection?  We’ll you’ll have to wait until next Thursday to get our projections for that game.  If you belong to our newsletter – you’ll get it a little sooner .

Alright, let’s take a looksy here shall we?

First up we have Ravens @ Patriots O/U of 50.5 – I’m projecting 54.5, so take the over.  I think you’re going to see this game as a high scoring game.  Both of these teams can put up points - especially the Patriots – as we saw last week against the Bronco’s.  PS we were correct on those projections as well.

Next up we have the Giants at 49ers O/U of 42 – I’m projecting 47.5 so again I’d be tempted to take the over.  Also, I’m going to have to disagree (and I might regret this, because I’m going to be watching the game with him) but I think the 49ers luck has run out.  And I agree, they are the team the NFL loves to hate right now, and I think they are a good team – I just think the Giants are on fire right now – and just because they beat them in week 10, doesn’t mean they will do it again.

Next up? I’m going to the Dr so he can start me on my yearly dose of antidepressants now that football is coming to an end .  BUT that means NBA and some NCAA BB game projections for you.  Right now we are hovering at about 58% on our projections for NBA – but now that we have collected enough data, I expect to see that popup to mid-high 60% in the next week or two.  We won’t project every game – because we have lives that we need to live – they just play too many damn games!

OK everyone, first off I just have to say that the Browns and the Lions aren’t as good as the 49′ers, nor will they ever be. As a matter of fact those 2 franchises can suck it, my team is 5-0 in the SuperBowl. Let’s root for 6-0 after the 2011-12 season!

If you know my friends Mark and Bob then you know why that had to be written first and foremost. We give each other a lot of crap about our repective teams, but this year I am King (and its good to be the King).

You can debate our winning percentage (76% or 80%), but you can’t debate your returns if you have been betting according to our expert advive. Here are some early thoughts on this weekends NFL matchups.

New England -7 vs Baltimore O/U 50.5

Baltimore has beaten 7 playoff teams this year by an average of 7+ points, NE hasnt beaten a team with a winning record. Ravens more battle tested for sure. Pats are more flashy

Ravens have won 5 playoff Road games in the past 4 years. Ravens arent afraid of the road

The last 2 times these teams played Brady has tossed 5 INT’s. Ed Reed plays BIG all the time

The Ravens aren’t prone to turnovers and the Pats have a +45 turnover differintal over the past 2 years, advantage slightly to the Pats (if Ravens pass catchers could ever get seperation for DB’s I would call it even but Cam Cameron cant call plays)

If you took 7.5 points on every Ravens game since Harbaugh took over you would be 63-8 in you bets, the Ravens hardly ever get blown out folks. Good D and Ray Rice keeps you in lots of games

Baltimore beat the Texans without any penalties or turnovers, pretty nice disipline but that won’t happen again. If Matt Schaub wouldnt have gotten hurt that Texans team would be in the Superbowl in my mind (next year early bet on a Lombardi trophy anyone???)

Joe Flacco is average at best and will never be Tom Brady, but besides the Goldenboy and his TE’s, this Pats team is pretty average.

If it comes down to Flacco being better than average or to come back and beat Tom Brady then we all know Pats win.

If u have 2 put $ on this game for the action and best profit possibility then you bet BALT moneyline (+250).

4.5 on the 1st half sounds interesting also, so a split of you gambling funds for max protection/profit would be 50% on the line of +7 Balt, 35% moneyline Balt+250, and Balt first half +4.5 (15%)

Giant vs San Fransisco 49′ers +2.5 O/U 42

Which QB is 16-1-1 against the spread in past 18 home games? Alex Smith (Tie was overtive vs Cowgirls)

Run advantage/Run Stop advantage/Special Teams San Fran Dominates

San Fran is going win in the trenches and in the field position battle

SF D allows 3.5 yds/carry, Bradshaw avg 3.9 and Jacobs avg 3.7. I dont see a whole lot of running here by the NYG, that SF D hits hard all game long and knocks people out, with Bradshaws injury history i see Manning having to pass all day long, and SF opponets have passed 128 more time than they have ran against the 49′er D this season, they are used to teams passing against them.

Giants had the 7th hardest schedule, 49′ers had the 27th. SF really capitalizes on the turnovers, and even with 5 last week they needed a last scond amazing play from Smith to win the game. But Brees and theSaints dont make many mistakes, credit to that D in San Fran

SF avg 7 yards per pass, 4.1 per rush, allows 6.9 per pass and 3.5 per rush

Giants over the past month have been the hotest team in the NFL, they beat GB once and were tied with them with 1 min left in another game, beat the Jets, Beat NE, and beat the Cowgirls in a must win game. They are the hottest team right now

For me at this first glance i think the best value bets for this game is the 49′ers straight up (-130 moneyline) or with the points (-2.5), and that 0.5 1st half spread is tasty also, jump on it.

I wish I could say that our bets are worth their weight in gold – but that would be factually incorrect! Apparently our bets are worth far more than their digital weight in gold! Totally called the over AND (AND) totally called the long shot!!!! Who made money? We did.