1/22 Projections!

Alright, let’s take a looksy here shall we?

First up we have Ravens @ Patriots O/U of 50.5 – I’m projecting 54.5, so take the over.  I think you’re going to see this game as a high scoring game.  Both of these teams can put up points - especially the Patriots – as we saw last week against the Bronco’s.  PS we were correct on those projections as well.

Next up we have the Giants at 49ers O/U of 42 – I’m projecting 47.5 so again I’d be tempted to take the over.  Also, I’m going to have to disagree (and I might regret this, because I’m going to be watching the game with him) but I think the 49ers luck has run out.  And I agree, they are the team the NFL loves to hate right now, and I think they are a good team – I just think the Giants are on fire right now – and just because they beat them in week 10, doesn’t mean they will do it again.

Next up? I’m going to the Dr so he can start me on my yearly dose of antidepressants now that football is coming to an end :( .  BUT that means NBA and some NCAA BB game projections for you.  Right now we are hovering at about 58% on our projections for NBA – but now that we have collected enough data, I expect to see that popup to mid-high 60% in the next week or two.  We won’t project every game – because we have lives that we need to live – they just play too many damn games!

Early NFL Championship Weekend Ramblings…

OK everyone, first off I just have to say that the Browns and the Lions aren’t as good as the 49′ers, nor will they ever be. As a matter of fact those 2 franchises can suck it, my team is 5-0 in the SuperBowl. Let’s root for 6-0 after the 2011-12 season!

If you know my friends Mark and Bob then you know why that had to be written first and foremost. We give each other a lot of crap about our repective teams, but this year I am King (and its good to be the King).

You can debate our winning percentage (76% or 80%), but you can’t debate your returns if you have been betting according to our expert advive. Here are some early thoughts on this weekends NFL matchups.

New England -7 vs Baltimore O/U 50.5

Baltimore has beaten 7 playoff teams this year by an average of 7+ points, NE hasnt beaten a team with a winning record. Ravens more battle tested for sure. Pats are more flashy

Ravens have won 5 playoff Road games in the past 4 years. Ravens arent afraid of the road

The last 2 times these teams played Brady has tossed 5 INT’s. Ed Reed plays BIG all the time

The Ravens aren’t prone to turnovers and the Pats have a +45 turnover differintal over the past 2 years, advantage slightly to the Pats (if Ravens pass catchers could ever get seperation for DB’s I would call it even but Cam Cameron cant call plays)

If you took 7.5 points on every Ravens game since Harbaugh took over you would be 63-8 in you bets, the Ravens hardly ever get blown out folks. Good D and Ray Rice keeps you in lots of games

Baltimore beat the Texans without any penalties or turnovers, pretty nice disipline but that won’t happen again. If Matt Schaub wouldnt have gotten hurt that Texans team would be in the Superbowl in my mind (next year early bet on a Lombardi trophy anyone???)

Joe Flacco is average at best and will never be Tom Brady, but besides the Goldenboy and his TE’s, this Pats team is pretty average.

If it comes down to Flacco being better than average or to come back and beat Tom Brady then we all know Pats win.

 

If u have 2 put $ on this game for the action and best profit possibility then you bet BALT moneyline (+250).

4.5 on the 1st half sounds interesting also, so a split of you gambling funds for max protection/profit would be 50% on the line of +7 Balt, 35% moneyline Balt+250, and Balt first half +4.5 (15%)

 

Giant vs San Fransisco 49′ers +2.5 O/U 42

Which QB is 16-1-1 against the spread in past 18 home games? Alex Smith (Tie was overtive vs Cowgirls)

Run advantage/Run Stop advantage/Special Teams San Fran Dominates

San Fran is going win in the trenches and in the field position battle

SF D allows 3.5 yds/carry, Bradshaw avg 3.9 and Jacobs avg 3.7. I dont see a whole lot of running here by the NYG, that SF D hits hard all game long and knocks people out, with Bradshaws injury history i see Manning having to pass all day long, and SF opponets have passed 128 more time than they have ran against the 49′er D this season, they are used to teams passing against them.

Giants had the 7th hardest schedule, 49′ers had the 27th. SF really capitalizes on the turnovers, and even with 5 last week they needed a last scond amazing play from Smith to win the game. But Brees and theSaints dont make many mistakes, credit to that D in San Fran

SF avg 7 yards per pass, 4.1 per rush, allows 6.9 per pass and 3.5 per rush

Giants over the past month have been the hotest team in the NFL, they beat GB once and were tied with them with 1 min left in another game, beat the Jets, Beat NE, and beat the Cowgirls in a must win game. They are the hottest team right now

For me at this first glance i think the best value bets for this game is the 49′ers straight up (-130 moneyline) or with the points (-2.5), and that 0.5 1st half spread is tasty also, jump on it.

Whoa, wait a second

Did I say 76%?? I forgot about our long shots – we called the 49ers, AND the Giants (be long shots – guess what that means??? We are now up to 80%!!!!!!!!!!!!!! – if you include our long shot projections – otherwise we are sitting at 76% – still pretty damn good!! Want our picks for next week? SIGN UP FOR OUR NEWSLETTER!!

You can’t win them all, but you can win 75%!!

While this may bring down our average to 76% we are still way ahead!! If you want to win, play with us. Thankfully, we have enough bets for some NBA games and next week’s NFL games! Want the early picks? You have to join the news letter – that’s the only way you will get our early projections! It’s free, and easy to do, otherwise you’ll have to wait until our posts on this site – also free. Good luck everyone!

Saturday Recap – its official

Mark & Jeff are now, officially over 80 percent in our actual projections. Some great games on Saturday – ok who are we kidding? Bronco’s Patriots was a total bust (but our projection of the over on the closing line was totally correct (what? didn’t get that projection? Then you clearly need to sign up for our news letter).

We were right on the O/U on the 49ers & Patriots games (and our long shot projection came true, that 49ers would win. Al in all, when you bet with us – you make money.

BOOM!

I wish I could say that our bets are worth their weight in gold – but that would be factually incorrect! Apparently our bets are worth far more than their digital weight in gold! Totally called the over AND (AND) totally called the long shot!!!! Who made money? We did.

This weeks predictions!

You know, if you signed up for our newsletter HERE then you would have already had these, but you didn’t – and the lines have moved – sorry :(  Sign up now!!

Alright folks, its time to start getting serious about this!  First let me start off by saying that Jeff and my projections are bordering 80%!! (77% right now).  As always, none of these are a sure thing, don’t be stupid with your bets, we are not responsible for the outcome of any games – or the bets that you place on them.  If you have a problem – get help.  If you don’t have a problem, but want one – keep reading.  No warranty is expressed or implied with the projections below.  This should only be a small part of your own research.

Saints @ 49ers the line projection is 47.5 (-3.5 towards the Saints).  We’re projecting 57.24 – so we feel that the over is pretty easy here.  If you want a long shot crazy long shot – don’t count the 49ers out. This isn’t our official projection, but they might still be in the money.

Bronco’s @ Patriots:  The current projection is 50.5 (and if I have to admit, Vegas is starting to get the swing of things here) my projection is 50.24.  This will come as no surprise, but we’re staying away from this game.  The last time they played the actual O/U was 64 and the projection was New England by 7 (the current projection is 13.5) – the Bronco’s lost by 18.  So you have to ask yourself a few questions on this one: 1) Is Tebow going to fold under the pressure and score low?  His OT play was pretty amazing (which was the shortest OT in all of NFL history – for your info).  2) If not, is he going to keep it within 13 (last time he didn’t) or are we looking at an 18-20 point difference?  3) And this is the big question – do you believe in god? Do you believe that Tebow might be God’s sounding board?  You did hear that he threw for 316 yards, and his avg completion is 31.6?  John 3:16 much?  Anyway, there are too many questions for me to answer here – which is why I’m walking away from this game: NO PROJECTION!  If I were going to bet, I’d be tempted to go with the over, but that would go against the logic that I’ve used thus far to be successful – which says I should go for the under (and those of you who know me, know that I HATE picking the under).  I’m turning my back on this one.

Texans @ Ravens: The current O/U projection is 35.5 our projection is 47.45 – so again we think this will be an easy over, but its not going to hit the the 47.  Ravens D is good right now.  If you want to take the spread, we’re suggesting to buy to 5.5 Ravens.

Giants @ Packers: This is going to be a good game – the current projection is 52.5 we are projecting 58 – so we feel pretty safe calling the over on this one.  Another long shot, with little reward, would be to say Giant’s cover the spread – or a bigger long shot, with slightly more reward – take the Giants money line.

The Guy the NFL Loves to Hate

He pulls it off again – amazing.  While we didn’t project the Bronco’s winning, we certainly did call the O/U on this game!!!  Like we said – Tebow had one more gust of wind in his sails, and boy were we right!!!

This weeks projections were 75% correct!!  While our projections sit at 75% correct, our actual bets were 100% correct.  We are in it to win it, and while our normal projections sit around 78% – we are completely happy with the events of this week.

Hey – did you know, we now have a newsletter?  Want the latest breaking news? Subscribe Now!  Trust us, we won’t sell your stuff, it’s not our style – and we wouldn’t make enough money off of it anyway!

TEBOW!!

While we may have been wrong on the falcons-giants – we still feel strong about the over on the steelers-broncos game. With one question – WHY WOULD TEBOW KNEEL THE BALL????????????

Saturday Recap

Whew, we were sweating that Bengals-Texans game, but it turned out exactly how we projected – if you took the over, you made money.

And – not surprisingly the Lions-Saints game went over as we projected as well.  Even though it went over, we’re still glad that we stayed away from this game.  Both teams were playing extremely aggressively, and I’m still at a loss why the Saints decided to go for the long haul touchdown in the final few minutes of the game, instead of working the clock.  But then again, we aren’t coaches – and probably for good reason. If you took the over, you made money.

Today’s results: 100% Correct!

We know, you are waiting for some NBA projections – but we just simply don’t have enough data to start accurately start projecting games.  Give us another couple of days – but check back often.

Social Widgets powered by AB-WebLog.com.